Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.097672 0.105601 0.114043 0.123733 0.134581 0.146395 0.160288
2024-10-13 0.082362 0.092868 0.104726 0.119210 0.136571 0.156904 0.182802
2024-10-20 0.072585 0.084225 0.097902 0.115366 0.137373 0.164608 0.201543
2024-10-27 0.065688 0.077907 0.092717 0.112298 0.137989 0.171261 0.218860
2024-11-03 0.063559 0.077017 0.093838 0.116875 0.148378 0.191180 0.256061
2024-11-10 0.062243 0.076910 0.095766 0.122455 0.160421 0.214478 0.301326
2024-11-17 0.059198 0.074250 0.094029 0.122754 0.164926 0.227304 0.332523
2024-11-24 0.055795 0.070842 0.090970 0.120833 0.165858 0.234665 0.355794
2024-12-01 0.052594 0.067485 0.087715 0.118300 0.165509 0.239809 0.375847
2024-12-08 0.049387 0.063926 0.083934 0.114663 0.163054 0.241166 0.389191
2024-12-15 0.047412 0.061970 0.082297 0.114075 0.165274 0.250375 0.418322
2024-12-22 0.045280 0.059674 0.080018 0.112313 0.165382 0.255888 0.441099
2024-12-29 0.043927 0.058544 0.079555 0.113620 0.171164 0.272949 0.492500
2025-01-05 0.041359 0.055539 0.076153 0.110057 0.168428 0.274336 0.511522
2025-01-12 0.039053 0.052806 0.073009 0.106680 0.165687 0.275355 0.530007
2025-01-19 0.037090 0.050487 0.070368 0.103933 0.163791 0.277739 0.552210
2025-01-26 0.036885 0.050790 0.071787 0.108050 0.174745 0.307296 0.648905
2025-02-02 0.036867 0.051364 0.073653 0.113058 0.187931 0.343791 0.776899
2025-02-09 0.035844 0.050327 0.072859 0.113327 0.191929 0.360872 0.856229
2025-02-16 0.034492 0.048711 0.071033 0.111604 0.191754 0.368371 0.908878
2025-02-23 0.033119 0.047008 0.068980 0.109330 0.190230 0.372466 0.952094
2025-03-02 0.031642 0.045082 0.066470 0.106063 0.186353 0.370342 0.973690
2025-03-09 0.030760 0.044079 0.065465 0.105534 0.188225 0.382813 1.052456